Doctors are also aging... 32,000 doctors will retire in 10 years = South Korea

It is predicted that in the future, as doctors age, they will leave hospitals faster than new doctors will be born.
On the 22nd, the Korean Physicians Collective Action Central Accident Control Headquarters announced that in 2035, people over 70 years old will be required to
Approximately 32,000 people are expected to retire, and over 30,000 people are expected to become new doctors over the next 10 years. This is based on the Korean Medical Association's argument that there are too many doctors due to low birth rates.
Contrary to. Park Min-soo, deputy director of the Central Accident Control Headquarters and second vice-minister of the Ministry of Health and Welfare, said, ``Even if the population decreases by about 1.6% in 2035, the demand for medical care will increase explosively due to the increase in the number of elderly people.''
The future.” It is predicted that the number of people aged 65 and over in 2035 will increase by 70% compared to today. As a result, the number of inpatient days is expected to increase by 45% and the number of outpatient days by 13% in 2035.
. Taking into account recent trends such as a significant increase in the number of retired physicians due to the aging of the physician population, the growth rate in the number of physicians will decline to 1.67%.
On the other hand, the Korean Medical Association estimates the year-on-year increase in the number of doctors as the average increase rate from 2010 to 2020.
2.84% is applied. Vice Minister Park Min-soo said, ``The 2.84% increase rate also reflects the rate of increase in the number of oriental herbal medicine doctors, and as claimed by the medical association, the estimated capacity is 3,058 in 2047.
The number of doctors increased by 7,630 compared to the previous year in the current fiscal year,'' and added, ``Even if we increase the number of doctors by 2,000 next year, the capacity is 5,000, but even if we do not increase the number of doctors, 7,630 doctors, which is 2,000 more than this, will be eliminated.
"It's a realistic estimate." He then added, ``There are problems with the accuracy of the estimates by the medical association, which multiple experts have already pointed out.''
The government believes that because South Korea has a small number of doctors in the denominator, even a small increase will result in a large increase rate.
I believe there is an optical illusion that can be seen. Furthermore, the number of doctors is thought to have increased because until now, even if the capacity of medical schools remained stagnant, more doctors were newly hired than retired. However, in the future, baby boomer doctors
This means that we must take into consideration the fact that many doctors who were forced out of the university will begin to retire in earnest as a result of the application of the graduation quota system. It should also be taken into consideration that doctors' working hours are also decreasing.
. As a result of the actual situation survey, due to the application of the upper limit of 80 hours of working hours for trainee doctors, the number of working hours per week for trainee doctors has decreased by about 14 hours in six years, from 92 hours in 2016 to 78 hours in 2022. It also takes
However, the demand for competent doctors is increasing significantly, not only in hospitals but also in the biohealth industry and science and technology fields. Vice Minister Park said, ``With the current doctor supply structure, there is no room to respond to the rapidly increasing demand.''
right. This is the basis for the fact that there is a shortage of doctors,'' he said, emphasizing the need to increase the number of medical schools by 2,000.