On the 21st (local time), Sina, co-founder of 21st Capital, which specializes in Bitcoin (BTC),
G uses the Quantile model to predict that the current Bitcoin price is 20%.
Sina G has published a study that divides Bitcoin's "probability space" into three zones and predicts the specific value of Bitcoin in 2025.
"Each zone represents a different price range and investment sentiment in the market," he said, describing the zones as "cold," "warm" and "hot."
The "cold" zone (below the 33% percentile) is between $55,000 and $85,000, which includes the current Bitcoin price.
is the lowest expected price range for Bitcoin, where experienced investors are expected to build positions with a long-term goal of $100,000 or higher in mind.
The "warm" zone (33% to 66% percentiles) is between $85,000 and $136,000.
G believes that retail investors may begin to see Bitcoin forming new all-time highs in this zone and gradually build positions with excessive exposure to this zone.
The "hot" zone (66% to 99% percentile) is between $136,000 and $285,000 by the end of 2025, and Bitcoin is expected to reach that level.
It is expected to consolidate in these zones for a third of the year. Regarding each zone, Sina said: "The 33% quantile range is perfectly aligned with Bitcoin's phase transitions.
Bitcoin tends to spend 1/3 of its time in each zone, like clockwork, before moving to the other zones. Most bear markets are in the 33% zone, while bull market euphoria is in the 66% zone.
"Prices experience the greatest volatility in the 'hot zone,' and profit taking and over-leveraged positions in this zone can lead to rapid market reversals," it said.
"It will bring about," he added.
2024/10/22 12:43 KST
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