金正恩氏、電撃訪中決定…「半島情勢」主導権を狙う勝負手
Kim Jong-un makes surprise visit to China... a gamble to take the lead in the ”situation on the peninsula”
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un has decided to attend the military parade to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the victory in the War of Resistance against Japan, which will be held in China next month.
This is seen as an important move to seize the initiative in the changing situation on the Korean Peninsula following President Moon's visit to the United States and Japan. Professor Lim Eul-chul of the Institute of Far Eastern Studies at Kyungnam University said,
On the day, he analyzed, "The surprise visit to China can be seen as a decisive move by Kim Jong Un to seize the initiative in the situation on the Korean Peninsula." Furthermore, he said, "The anti-fascist solidarity between the leaders of North Korea and China, and North Korea and Russia,
"This is a move that could be a major one aimed at neutralizing the coordinated pressure on North Korea for denuclearization by South Korea, the United States, and Japan," he said.
Professor Hayashi also pointed out that "there is a growing possibility that Chinese President Xi Jinping will make a return visit to the North Korean Workers' Party's founding anniversary event on October 10." If Russian President Putin also visits North Korea,
He also expressed his expectation that a three-way summit between North Korea, China and Russia may be possible. Professor Yang Moo-jin of the University of North Korean Studies said, "In response to the recent trilateral cooperation between South Korea, the United States and Japan,
"This is an example of North Korea following Russia in improving its relations with China," Professor Yang said. In particular, he said that President Lee and U.S. President Trump expressed understanding of the need for dialogue between the U.S. and North Korean leaders during the Korea-U.S. summit.
In relation to this, "there may be prior consultations between North Korea and China in preparation for Chairman Kim being invited to the Gyeongju Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit, which President Xi is scheduled to attend."
He then pointed out that "we need to take into consideration the example of the promotion of the US-North Korea summit to coordinate the agenda in advance of the 2018 Pyeongchang Process."
Kim Jong Un's decision to enter the multilateral diplomatic arena for the first time since assuming the position of Supreme Leader has multiple objectives in mind.
Jeong Seong-jang, vice president of the Sejong Institute, said, "Kim Jong-il is seeking assistance from China to ensure the success of the 80th anniversary of the founding of the Workers' Party and the 9th Party Congress next year."
"I decided to visit China because I felt that I needed help," he said. "China's cooperation is also necessary to attract a large number of Chinese tourists to the former Sankalma Coast tourist area."
Deputy Director Jeong said, "Even after the Russia-Ukraine war, the cooperative relationship between North Korea and Russia will likely continue, but North Korea will no longer have the special demand it had up until now, so it will be necessary to repair North Korea-China relations."
"North Korea is wary of President Xi and President Ri building a close relationship at the APEC summit in Gyeongju, and has begun to move to repair relations with China," he said.
"It can also be seen as a countermeasure against the strengthening of cooperation between South Korea, the United States and Japan, which has been triggered by President Lee's visits to Japan and the United States," he said.
"Through his meeting with President Putin, he is expected to emphasize the need for greater cooperation between North Korea, China and Russia."
Meanwhile, Kim Jong-il's grandfather, the late Kim Il-sung,
He actively pursued diplomacy with the Soviet Union, China, and other Third World countries, but his father, the late General Secretary Kim Jong-il, rarely appeared on the stage of multilateral diplomacy attended by multiple leaders.
Kim Jong Un has also been avoiding participation in multilateral diplomatic events up until now. He was initially expected to attend Russia's large-scale military parade in May this year to commemorate the 80th anniversary of the victory in World War II.
He did not participate in the program either.
2025/08/29 06:01 KST
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