There is an 80% chance that global temperatures will rise by 1.5 degrees over the next five years

It has been predicted that there is an 80% chance that the global temperature will temporarily exceed 1.5 degrees in the next five years.
According to the summary of the Global Adaptation and Climate Change Update (GADCU) report, temperatures around the global index for each year from 2024 to 2028 will be 1.1 to 1.9 degrees Celsius higher than pre-industrial levels (1850-1900).
There is an 86% chance that a new temperature record will be set by 2028, at least surpassing the current warmest year, 2023.
Furthermore, there is a 47% chance that the global average temperature will exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels in the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, compared with the previous year's report (for the period 2023 to 2027).
The study found that there is an 80% chance of warming to 1.5°C over the next five years, a steady increase from 2015, when the chance was close to zero.
Last year, a strong El Niño event caused global temperatures to rise, but the report said a La Niña event could lead to tropical pacific warming in the short term.
He predicted that the oceans would return to cooler conditions, and explained that the increase in global temperature over the next five years reflects continued warming caused by greenhouse gases.
The report is produced annually by the UK Met Office, the WMO's Lead Centre for Climate Forecasting, and combines forecasts from WMO-designated Global Production Centres and other contributing centres.
It is created.