予測プラットフォームカルシの創業者が「ポリマーケットの賭け結果は操作ではない」とカルシーのデータを公開した
PolyMarket's ”Trump dominance” prediction is not manipulated... Calci betting results are the same
Recently, concerns have been raised about manipulation of Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based prediction platform, in relation to its predictions for the US presidential election.
Meanwhile, the founder of another prediction platform, Kalshi, claimed that the results were not manipulated. On the 20th (local time), former President Donald Trump recently posted a tweet on PolyMarket about Kamala Hari.
It was revealed that he had a 60.3% chance of winning the presidential election against Vice President Suh, and it was also predicted that he had a high chance of winning all six key states.
The Polymarket platform's predicted results showing Trump with a 20-point lead over Ha Ri Su raised concerns of manipulation.
However, Tarek Mansour, founder of the Karshi prediction platform, presented the Karshi data and said, "The results are accurate and not due to any unusual manipulation."
" Mansoor first refuted media claims that some big investors (whales) were skewing the odds in Trump's favor. He said, "The mid-range bet on Ha Ri Su
is larger than the median bet on Trump," he said, explaining that the median bet on Ha Ri Su was $85 and on Trump was $58.
He also claims that Karsi's platform has helped more people bet on Trump.
The 20-point lead reflected in the polymarket roughly corresponds to the number of people on Citizens' Market who are betting Trump will win the November election.
Mansour emphasized that “Karshi is a prediction market exclusively for Americans,” refuting the common assertion that the current odds on prediction markets are skewed due to manipulation by foreigners, and said, “Prediction markets are not biased.
It is a source of new, never-before-seen truths."
2024/10/21 17:37 KST
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