According to the betting site PolyMarket, as of 6:40 pm on the 23rd, there was a 77% chance that President Yoon Seok-yeol would step down before April.
The total amount of betting was 5,938,362 dollars (approximately 900 million yen). PolyMarket is the world's largest betting site, and is based on the blockchain.
In the past, he predicted that former President Joe Biden would not run for reelection and that J.D. Vance would be named as President Donald Trump's running mate, which was a Hot Topic.
This betting began immediately after President Yoon Seok-yeol's December 3rd martial law. If President Yoon Seok-yeol were to step down from his presidency or accept impeachment in the Constitutional Court, the answer would be "yes."
If the Constitutional Court does not approve the impeachment or if President Yoon Seok-yeol announces that he will step down from the presidency later, then betting on "No" will win.
When the National Assembly passed the impeachment bill against President Yoon Seok-yeol, the probability of answering "yes" rose to 80%, but it continued to decline after that, falling to 47% at the end of December.
The probability of the impeachment rose after President Yoon's arrest, reaching 84% as of the 18th. The result of the impeachment case against President Yoon Seok-yeo is expected to be announced in March. If the final arguments proceed normally, the number of days until the impeachment will be 2021 will be 100.
The result will be announced within a week. In the impeachment of former President Roh Moo-hyun, the decision to dismiss the case was made 14 days after the final argument, and in the case of former President Park Geun-hye, the decision to dismiss the case was made 11 days after the final argument.
The decision to approve was made.
2025/02/23 19:45 KST
Copyrights(C) Edaily wowkorea.jp 99