The proportion of moderates who are floating is higher than those who describe their inclinations as "progressive" or "conservative," making them an important variable in public sentiment.
Realmeter conducted a three-day survey from the 7th to the 9th among 1,508 voters aged 18 and over nationwide on their preference for the ruling party in the next presidential election.
The percentage of people who said they wanted a change of government was 55.8%, while 39.2% said they wanted the government to continue. In particular, the percentage of moderates who said they wanted a change of government was 10.4%, regardless of ideological leanings.
Among those who described their ideological leanings as "moderate," 59.9% supported a "change of government." On the other hand, those who supported an "extension of the government"
Only 33.2% of moderates said that the government should be changed. Looking at the characteristics of those who supported a change in government, the number of moderates rose 1.5 percentage points from 58.4% last week to 59.9%.
Meanwhile, the number of moderates who support extending the administration's term fell 1.7 percentage points, from 34.9% to 33.2%, over the same period.
This is because the ruling party, People's Power, is in a fierce internal conflict over unifying its candidate list.
It is analyzed that this shows that moderate voters are losing interest in the party. On the 10th, after the survey period, the People's Power Party tried to make a surprise change of candidate in the early hours of the morning with candidate Han Deok-soo, but the majority of party members did not support him.
As a result, Kim Moon-soo was registered as the final presidential candidate, but with only a short campaign period left until the presidential election, the government was swayed by the voters' opinions.
Looking at party approval ratings, the number of moderate voters supporting the Democratic Party of Korea has increased, while the number of moderate voters supporting the People Power Party has dropped.
The number of moderates who supported the Democratic Party of Japan was 47.3%, up 1.2% from the previous survey (46.1%). The number of moderates who supported the People's Power Party was 30.7%, down 3.3% in the same period,
In the three-way presidential election, moderate voters showed a tendency to support the (former) opposition camp candidate more than the general support base.
In the three-way contest between Lee Jae-myung, Kim Moon-soo and Lee Jun-seok, the results showed that Lee Jae-myung received 52.1%, Kim Moon-soo 31.1% and Lee Jun-seok 6.3%. Among moderates, Lee Jae-myung received 54.9%, Kim Moon-soo 31.1% and Lee Jun-seok 6.3%.
Candidate Su recorded 24.3%. The National Election Commission will complete the presidential candidate registration procedures by this day. The official election campaign will begin on the 12th, with the Democratic Party of Korea and the People's Power Party.
The survey was conducted through an automated radio response system (100%).
2025/05/11 20:45 KST
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